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EUR/USD Homework June 19, 2013
EUR/USD homework applied to Wednesday June 19, 2013 London Session
Tuesday Stats:
Open 1.3333
High 1.3415
Low 1.3331
Close 1.3408
Range 0.0084
Direction Higher
GW High 1.3395
GW Low 1.336
GW Depth 12
GW Strength Moderate
Price Fairness Fair
Price Balance 1.08
DHN 1.3377
Tuesday Recap: The session did produce a trading range as expected. Price opened inside the GW and then quickly moved to higher outer space. Buyers were able to push to the 1.3400 level but then sellers began to absorb all the buy orders as 15 minute momentum ran to over bought territory. The morning high was within a few ticks of where the momentum turned down. Price then moved sideways to lower until the US CPI release. There was a brief spike higher to the morning high, but then a swift sell off to within a few ticks of the open. Buyers defended the open and regrouped to push higher and make new session highs in the last 30 minutes. This session had more of the feel of a day 2 in the control cycle, which makes some sense considering Monday's session looked more like day 1. Price was fair and balanced, so neither side has control.
For Wednesday Plan A: Anticipation of FED decision, economic forecast and press conference will dominate trade even though none of these will be released until after the London cash close. Neither side has control so expect a trading range session and use momentum studies to find the high and the low of the day. This is day 4 in the cycle for control which may behave like a day 3 since Tuesday looked more like a day 2. The elongated control cycle is due to the FED announcements as this meeting is more significant than most with all the debate of tapering the current QE from 85 billion per month. Expect more of the same as neither side will bet too hard before the FED announcement. In the balance of the US session, control may be won and will be reported in tomorrow's homework.
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